Predicting the climate impact of aviation for en-route emissions: the algorithmic climate change function submodel ACCF 1.0 of EMAC 2.53

Using climate-optimized flight trajectories is one essential measure to reduce aviation's climate impact. Detailed knowledge of temporal and spatial climate sensitivity for aviation emissions in the atmosphere is required to realize such a climate mitigation measure. The algorithmic Climate Change Functions (aCCFs) represent the basis for such purposes. This paper presents the first version of the Algorithmic Climate Change Function submodel (ACCF 1.0) within the European Centre HAMburg general circulation model (ECHAM) and Modular Earth Submodel System (MESSy) Atmospheric Chemistry (EMAC) model framework. In the ACCF 1.0, we implement a set of aCCFs (version 1.0) to estimate the average temperature response over 20 years (ATR20) resulting from aviation CO2 emissions and non-CO2 impacts, such as NOx emissions (via ozone production and methane destruction), water vapour emissions, and contrail cirrus. While the aCCF concept has been introduced in previous research, here, we publish a consistent set of aCCF formulas in terms of fuel scenario, metric, and efficacy for the first time. In particular, this paper elaborates on contrail aCCF development, which has not been published before. ACCF 1.0 uses the simulated atmospheric conditions at the emission location as input to calculate the ATR20 per unit of fuel burned, per NOx emitted, or per flown kilometre.In this research, we perform quality checks of the ACCF 1.0 outputs in two aspects. Firstly, we compare climatological values calculated by ACCF 1.0 to previous studies. The comparison confirms that in the Northern Hemisphere between 150–300 hPa altitude (flight corridor), the vertical and latitudinal structure of NOx-induced ozone and H2O effects are well represented by the ACCF model output. The NOx-induced methane effects increase towards lower altitudes and higher latitudes, which behaves differently from the existing literature. For contrail cirrus, the climatological pattern of the ACCF model output corresponds with the literature, except that contrail-cirrus aCCF generates values at low altitudes near polar regions, which is caused by the conditions set up for contrail formation. Secondly, we evaluate the reduction of NOx-induced ozone effects through trajectory optimization, employing the tagging chemistry approach (contribution approach to tag species according to their emission categories and to inherit these tags to other species during the subsequent chemical reactions). The simulation results show that climate-optimized trajectories reduce the radiative forcing contribution from aviation NOx-induced ozone compared to cost-optimized trajectories. Finally, we couple the ACCF 1.0 to the air traffic simulation submodel AirTraf version 2.0 and demonstrate the variability of the flight trajectories when the efficacy of individual effects is considered. Based on the 1 d simulation results of a subset of European flights, the total ATR20 of the climate-optimized flights is significantly lower (roughly 50 % less) than that of the cost-optimized flights, with the most considerable contribution from contrail cirrus. The CO2 contribution observed in this study is low compared with the non-CO2 effects, which requires further diagnosis.

A Hybrid Brain Storm Optimization Algorithm to Solve the Emergency Relief Routing Model

Due to the inappropriate or untimely distribution of post-disaster goods, many regions did not receive timely and efficient relief for infected people in the coronavirus disease outbreak that began in 2019. This study develops a model for the emergency relief routing problem (ERRP) to distribute post-disaster relief more reasonably. Unlike general route optimizations, patients' suffering is taken into account in the model, allowing patients in more urgent situations to receive relief operations first. A new metaheuristic algorithm, the hybrid brain storm optimization (HBSO) algorithm, is proposed to deal with the model. The hybrid algorithm adds the ideas of the simulated annealing (SA) algorithm and large neighborhood search (LNS) algorithm into the BSO algorithm, improving its ability to escape from the local optimum trap and speeding up the convergence. In simulation experiments, the BSO algorithm, BSO+LNS algorithm (combining the BSO with the LNS), and HBSO algorithm (combining the BSO with the LNS and SA) are compared. The results of simulation experiments show the following: (1) The HBSO algorithm outperforms its rivals, obtaining a smaller total cost and providing a more stable ability to discover the best solution for the ERRP;(2) the ERRP model can greatly reduce the level of patient suffering and can prioritize patients in more urgent situations.

Research on cold chain logistics optimization model considering low-carbon emissions

Cold chain logistics distribution orders have increased due to the impact of COVID-19. In view of the increasing difficulty of route optimization and the increase of carbon emissions in the process of cold chain logistics distribution, a mathematical model for route optimization of cold chain logistics distribution vehicles with minimum comprehensive cost is established by considering the cost of carbon emission intensity comprehensively in this paper. The main contributions of this paper are as follows: 1) An improved hybrid ant colony algorithm is proposed, which combined simulated annealing algorithm to get rid of the local optimal solution. 2) Chaotic mapping is introduced in pheromone update to accelerate convergence and improve search efficiency. The effectiveness of the proposed method in optimizing cold chain logistics distribution path and reducing costs is verified by simulation experiments and comparison with the existing classical algorithms. © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Oxford University Press.

Conceptual Model for Assessing Logistics Maturity in Smart City Dimensions

The advancement of new technologies and the increasingly inseparable presence of logistics systems in the daily life of cities, industries, companies, and society has been modifying how logistics processes are implemented in these environments based on technological innovations, internet, virtual businesses, mobility, and the use of multi-channel distribution. Together with these changes, urban centers have been connecting to the smart city concept as the understanding of this theme advances into the debate and improvements in the agendas of either public or private management. This research proposes a conceptual model for evaluating logistics maturity in the smart city dimensions. The method has a qualitative, exploratory, and descriptive approach, supported by the Delphi method, which uses a questionnaire and interview as a data collection instrument with specialists on the subject. We identified that qualifying logistics in the urban environment is complex and requires a specialized look at identifying cities' structural, geographic, regional, social, and environmental characteristics. As a social–technological contribution, the proposition of the logistics maturity assessment scale in smart city dimensions can serve as an evaluative model of logistics, which means helping in urban planning and strategic management of cities, offering smarter solutions to the realities of urban spaces.

Route Optimization of Mobile Medical Unit with Reinforcement Learning

In this paper, we propose a solution for optimizing the routes of Mobile Medical Units (MMUs) in the domain of vehicle routing and scheduling. The generic objective is to optimize the distance traveled by the MMUs as well as optimizing the associated cost. These MMUs are located at a central depot. The idea is to provide improved healthcare to the rural people of India. The solution is obtained in two stages: preparing a mathematical model with the most suitable parameters, and then in the second phase, implementing an algorithm to obtain an optimized solution. The solution is focused on multiple parameters, including the number of vans, number of specialists, total distance, total travel time, and others. The solution is further supported by Reinforcement Learning, explaining the best possible optimized route and total distance traveled.

Bidirectional Data-Driven Trajectory Prediction for Intelligent Maritime Traffic

Intelligent maritime transportation is one of the most promising enabling technologies for promoting trade efficiency and releasing the physical labor force. The trajectory prediction method is the foundation to guarantee collision avoidance and route optimization for ship transportation. This article proposes a bidirectional data-driven trajectory prediction method based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) spatio-temporal data to improve the accuracy of ship trajectory prediction and reduce the risk of accidents. Our study constructs an encoder-decoder network driven by a forward and reverse comprehensive historical trajectory and then fuses the characteristics of the sub-network to predict the ship trajectory. The AIS historical trajectory data of US West Coast ships are employed to investigate the feasibility of the proposed method. Compared with the current methods, the proposed approach lessens the prediction error by studying the comprehensive historical trajectory, and 60.28% has reduced the average prediction error. The ocean and port trajectory data are analyzed in maritime transportation before and after COVID-19. The prediction error in the port area is reduced by 95.17% than the data before the epidemic. Our work helps the prediction of maritime ship trajectory, provides valuable services for maritime safety, and performs detailed insights for the analysis of trade conditions in different sea areas before and after the epidemic.

How can infectious medical waste be forecasted and transported during the COVID-19 pandemic? A hybrid two-stage method.

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused an unforeseen collapse of infectious medical waste (IMW) and an abrupt smite of the conveying chain. Hospitals and related treatment centers face great challenges during the pandemic because mismanagement may lead to more severe life threats and enlarge environmental pollution. Opportune forecasting and transportation route optimization, therefore, are crucial to coping with social stress meritoriously. All related hospitals and medical waste treatment centers (MWTCs) should make decisions in perspective to reduce the economic pressure and infection risk immensely. This study proposes a hybrid dynamic method, as follows: first to forecast confirmed cases via infectious disease modeling and analyze the association between IMW outflows and cases; next to construct a model through time-varying factors and the lagging factor to predict the waste quantity; and then to optimize the transportation network route from hospitals to MWTCs. For demonstration intentions, the established methodology is employed to an illustrative example. Based on the obtained results, in finding the process of decision making, cost becomes the common concern of decision-makers. Actually, the infection risk among publics has to be considered simultaneously. Therefore, realizing early warning and safe waste management has an immensely positive effect on epidemic stabilization and lifetime health.

Postal Item Delivery Route Optimization Based On Close-Open Mix Vehicle Routing Problem

Postal delivery is the world's longest-running service business process. Every city on the planet has this service, which is supported by a network of various depots serving as collection and delivery points. In distributing postal item delivery, Pos Indonesia through the Postal Processing Centre (PPC) is a distribution streamline that connects cities and regions with delivery centres closer to the final customer. Pos Indonesia has previously established a distribution pattern based on a zone-based system comprising a primary distribution centre and various delivery centres, delivery schedules, internal fleets, and predetermined routes.However, with reduced production capacity, as demonstrated by reducing traditional mail and less than truckload operations and anticipating customer needs for timely delivery, delivery patterns with fixed schedules and the internal fleet are unable to address this issue. Close-Open Mixed Vehicle Routing Problem (COMVRP) is proposed to optimize delivery by involving external fleets, and this is to reduce transportation costs where external fleets do not have fixed costs and do not need to return to PPC after delivery. The Genetic Algorithm is used to find heuristic solutions for each delivery history after Nearest Neighbor (NN)implementationto validate vehicle routes. Combined COMVRP-NN-GA produces a set of solutions, which will be used in the Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS). The results demonstrate that COMVRP outperforms existing scenarios, from optimizing six-vehicle routes to estimating five routes using a single external vehicle route, significantly reducing total mileage. The simulation findings based on the historical delivery dataset may be used to develop future delivery patterns based on the number of vehicles and total route distance and reduce transportation costs.

China’s Port Carbon Emission Reduction: A Study of Emission-Driven Factors

Ports offer an effective way to facilitate the global economy. However, massive carbon emission during port operating aggravates the atmospheric pollution in port cities. Capturing characteristics of port carbon emission is vital to reduce GHG (greenhouse gas) in the maritime realm as well as to achieve China’s carbon neutral objective. In this work, an integrated framework is proposed for exploring the driving factors of China ports’ emissions combined with stochastic effects on population, affluence and technology regression (STIRPAT), Global Malmquist-Luenberger (GML) and multiple linear regression (MLR). The port efficiency is estimated for each port and the potential driving factors of carbon emission are explored. The results indicate that port carbon emissions have a strong connection with port throughput, productivity, containerization and intermodal transshipment. It is worth noting that the containerization ratio and port physical facility with fossil-free energy improvement have positively correlated with carbon emissions. However, the specific value of waterborne transshipment shows a complex impact on carbon dioxide emission as the ratio increases. The findings reveal that China port authorities need to improve containerization ratio and develop intermodal transportation;meanwhile, it is responsible for port authorities to update energy use and improve energy efficiency in ways to minimize the proportion of non-green energy consumption in accordance with optimizing port operation management including peak shaving and intelligent management systems under a new horizon of clean energy and automatic equipment.

Dynamic Uncertainty Study of Multi-Center Location and Route Optimization for Medicine Logistics Company

Multi-center location of pharmaceutical logistics is the focus of pharmaceutical logistics research, and the dynamic uncertainty of pharmaceutical logistics multi-center location is a difficult point of research. In order to reduce the risk and cost of multi-enterprise, multi-category, large-volume, high-efficiency, and nationwide centralized medicine distribution, this study explores the best solution for planning medicine delivery for the medicine logistics. In this paper, based on the idea of big data, comprehensive consideration is given to uncertainties in center location, medicine type, medicine chemical characteristics, cost of medicine quality control (refrigeration and monitoring costs), delivery timeliness, and other factors. On this basis, a multi-center location- and route-optimization model for a medicine logistics company under dynamic uncertainty is constructed. The accuracy of the algorithm is improved by hybridizing the fuzzy C-means algorithm, sequential quadratic programming algorithm, and variable neighborhood search algorithm to combine the advantages of each. Finally, the model and the algorithm are verified through multi-enterprise, multi-category, high-volume, high-efficiency, and nationwide centralized medicine distribution cases, and various combinations of the three algorithms and several rival algorithms are compared and analyzed. Compared with rival algorithms, this hybrid algorithm has higher accuracy in solving multi-center location path optimization problem under the dynamic uncertainty in pharmaceutical logistics.

Route Optimization via Environment-Aware Deep Network and Reinforcement Learning

Vehicle mobility optimization in urban areas is a long-standing problem in smart city and spatial data analysis. Given the complex urban scenario and unpredictable social events, our work focuses on developing a mobile sequential recommendation system to maximize the profitability of vehicle service providers (e.g., taxi drivers). In particular, we treat the dynamic route optimization problem as a long-term sequential decision-making task. A reinforcement-learning framework is proposed to tackle this problem, by integrating a self-check mechanism and a deep neural network for customer pick-up point monitoring. To account for unexpected situations (e.g., the COVID-19 outbreak), our method is designed to be capable of handling related environment changes with a self-adaptive parameter determination mechanism. Based on the yellow taxi data in New York City and vicinity before and after the COVID-19 outbreak, we have conducted comprehensive experiments to evaluate the effectiveness of our method. The results show consistently excellent performance, from hourly to weekly measures, to support the superiority of our method over the state-of-the-art methods (i.e., with more than 98% improvement in terms of the profitability for taxi drivers). © 2021 Association for Computing Machinery.

An Investigation of Multimodal Transport for Last Mile Delivery in Rural Areas

High distribution costs constitute one of the major obstacles to the sustainable development of rural logistics. In order to effectively reduce the distribution costs of last mile delivery in rural areas, based on three typical transport modes (local logistics providers, public transport, and crowdsourcing logistics), this study first proposes a multimodal transport design for last mile delivery in rural areas. Then, a cost–benefit model for multimodal transport is proposed which uses genetic algorithms (GA) to solve the logistical problems faced. Finally, Shapley value is used to fairly allocate profits and represent the marginal contribution of each mode in multimodal transport. The numerical results show that multimodal transport can effectively reduce the distribution costs of last mile delivery in rural areas. When the order demand of each node tends to be stable, the marginal contribution of crowdsourcing logistics is often greater than that of the other two distribution modes. The marginal contribution of public transport is highest only when the number of orders per node is very small.

Route Optimization Tool (RoOT) for distribution of vaccines and health products.

Delivery of health products from provinces or districts to health facilities, including temperature-sensitive vaccines, is one of the most effective interventions to ensure availability of supplies and save lives in low- and middle-income countries. Currently, routes are hand drawn by logisticians that are adjusted based on vehicle availability and quantity of products. Easy-to-use supply chain tools are needed that planners can use in real-time to create or adjust routes for available vehicles and road conditions. Efficient and optimized distribution is even more critical with the COVID-19 vaccine distribution. We develop a Route Optimization Tool (RoOT) using a variant of a Vehicle Routing and Scheduling Algorithm (VeRSA) that is coded in Python, but reads and writes Excel files to make data input and using outputs easier. The tool takes into account cold chain distribution, is easy-to-use, and provides routes quickly within two minutes. RoOT can be used for routine operations or in emergency situations, such as delivery of new COVID-19 vaccine. The tool has a user-centric design with easy dropdown menus and the ability to optimize on time, risk, or combination of both. Training of logisticians in Mozambique indicate that RoOT is easy to use and provides a tool to improve planning and efficient distribution of health products, especially vaccines. We illustrate using RoOT in an emergency situation, such as a cyclone. RoOT is an open-source tool for optimal routing of health products. It provides optimized routes faster than most commercial software, and is tailored to meet the needs of government stakeholders. Currently, RoOT does not allow multi-day routes, and is designed for trips that can be completed within twenty-four hours. Areas for future development include multi-day routing and integration with mapping software to facilitate distance calculations and visualization of routes.

Research on Optimization of Healthcare Waste Management System Based on Green Governance Principle in the COVID-19 Pandemic.

At present, strategies for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic have made significant and strategic strides; however, and the large quantities of healthcare treatment waste have become another important "battlefield". For example, in Wuhan, the production rate of healthcare waste in hospitals, communities, temporary storage, and other units was much faster than the disposal rate during the COVID-19 pandemic. Improving the efficiency of healthcare waste transfer and treatment has become an important task for government health and environmental protection departments at all levels. Based on the situation of healthcare waste disposal in Wuhan during the critical period of the pandemic, this paper analyzes and studies green governance principles and summarizes the problems that exist in the current healthcare waste management system. Through the establishment of temporary storage facilities along transit routes, digital simulation and bionic experiments were carried out in the Hongshan District of Wuhan to improve the efficiency of healthcare waste transfer. Furthermore, this study discusses the coordination and cooperation of government, hospitals, communities, and other departments in the healthcare waste disposal process and provides guiding suggestions for healthcare waste disposal nationwide in order to deal with potential risks and provide effective references in all regions.